Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.038336e+00 1.295077 1.578912 1.913013 2.292570 2.707550 3.192710
2025-06-01 7.260528e-01 1.070087 1.491179 2.031032 2.691483 3.460623 4.411285
2025-06-08 4.836027e-01 0.852886 1.354244 2.050501 2.959192 4.073906 5.513169
2025-06-15 3.569279e-01 0.746287 1.326424 2.187404 3.369389 4.876739 6.884980
2025-06-22 2.551680e-01 0.640585 1.271750 2.269229 3.702341 5.592363 8.177696
2025-06-29 1.757667e-01 0.540475 1.199568 2.306836 3.966194 6.221412 9.378098
2025-07-06 1.099955e-01 0.434092 1.089676 2.264982 4.103219 6.676364 10.358357
2025-07-13 7.269021e-02 0.368767 1.033721 2.294598 4.337510 7.265600 11.528649
2025-07-20 4.619146e-02 0.312208 0.978770 2.313934 4.550126 7.825418 12.668816
2025-07-27 2.485208e-02 0.249023 0.891502 2.261446 4.640645 8.206830 13.567207
2025-08-03 1.202367e-02 0.197720 0.813504 2.211464 4.725404 8.575921 14.451312
2025-08-10 5.902941e-03 0.165969 0.772164 2.223316 4.907982 9.091364 15.550329
2025-08-17 1.790517e-03 0.128111 0.701326 2.168590 4.978199 9.446680 16.441709
2025-08-24 7.696039e-04 0.117038 0.705627 2.270709 5.324907 10.236243 17.981311
2025-08-31 1.126831e-04 0.095938 0.668742 2.277969 5.502864 10.768287 19.155754
2025-09-07 2.283612e-05 0.091820 0.690047 2.417538 5.924548 11.692674 20.925125
2025-09-14 1.256555e-08 0.082400 0.687564 2.501157 6.246620 12.466341 22.484041
2025-09-21 NaN 0.070065 0.667219 2.539256 6.484723 13.110520 23.859983
2025-09-28 NaN 0.053257 0.615819 2.493473 6.560654 13.493372 24.848596
2025-10-05 NaN 0.044395 0.596324 2.524535 6.782819 14.116889 26.208750
2025-10-12 NaN 0.036274 0.574208 2.544879 6.983108 14.706763 27.524379
2025-10-19 NaN 0.025950 0.526766 2.488692 7.027531 15.037563 28.447066
2025-10-26 NaN 0.018038 0.483323 2.435232 7.072103 15.366856 29.369924